Q4 2012 Office Market Posts The Stongest Quarter in Five Years
Demand for office space surged in the fourth quarter of 2012 posting the strongest quarter of demand for office space since pre-recession 2007. The job numbers have been healthy for quite some time but it wasn’t till the fourth quarter did we see the demand play out. Given the fiscal cliff scenario, the fear of a relapse into recession may be behind us. Asking rents rose 1% when compared to Q4 2011. While this is still a tenant’s market, vacancy is eroding. We estimate that we still need to decrease another 200 bsp before landlords can really push rents. The national rent growth is being pushed by a hand full of West Coast, tech-driven markets as well as the New York City market. Furthermore, we are seing companies functioning on less space per employee. That number has declined from 225sf to 176sf per person in 2012. We estimate that this could fall to as little as 151sf per person by 2017.